Hornets vs. Heat Predictions, Odds & Stats – March 17

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Southeast Division opponents square off when the Charlotte Hornets (34-34) host the Miami Heat (38-30) at Spectrum Center, beginning at 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday, March 17, 2026. The Heat are 5.5-point underdogs in the game, the fourth matchup between the squads this season.

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Hornets vs. Heat Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer model for this encounter expects a final tally of Hornets 117, Heat 115.

  • Moneyline Pick: Hornets (-216)
  • Total Pick: Under 234.5 (computer predicts 232.4 points)
  • Pick ATS: Heat (+5.5)

Recent Hornets vs. Heat Matchups

Hornets vs Heat (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
3/6/2026 Hornets -7.5 229.5 -301 +241 128-120 MIA
11/7/2025 Heat -7.5 235.5 -260 +212 126-108 MIA
10/28/2025 Heat -5.5 241 -193 +161 144-117 MIA
3/23/2025 Heat -7.5 214.5 -292 +236 122-105 MIA
3/10/2025 Heat -9.5 217 -420 +326 105-102 CHA
11/27/2024 Heat -4 218.5 -172 +144 98-94 MIA
10/26/2024 Heat -5.5 223 -246 +199 114-106 MIA

Hornets 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • Charlotte has gone 40-27-1 ATS this season.
  • The Hornets are 8-3-1 against the spread when favored by 5.5 points or more this season.
  • Charlotte has gone over in 26 of its 68 games with a set total (38.2%).
  • The Hornets have been favorites in 23 games this season and won 18 (78.3%) of those contests.
  • This season, Charlotte has won nine of its 10 games, or 90%, when favored by at least -216 on the moneyline.

Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • Miami's ATS record is 41-26-1 this year.
  • In games this year in which they were an underdog by 5.5 points or more, the Heat have a 9-4-1 record against the spread.
  • Of Miami's 68 games with a set total, 35 have hit the over (51.5%).
  • The Heat have been the moneyline underdog 33 total times this season. They've gone 16-17 in those games.
  • Miami has gone 4-9 when it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +179 or longer (30.8%).

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Hornets vs. Heat Injury Report

Hornets

Hornets:

Tidjane Salaun: Out (Calf)

Heat

Heat:

Nikola Jovic: Probable (Back),

Andrew Wiggins: Out (Toe),

Pelle Larsson: Probable (Elbow),

Bam Adebayo: Questionable (Calf)

Hornets vs. Heat Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Tuesday, March 17, 2026
  • Game time: 7 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: FDSSUN and FDSSE
  • Location: Charlotte, North Carolina
  • Arena: Spectrum Center

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