Hurricanes vs. Senators Prediction & Picks - NHL Playoffs First Round Game

Vancouver Canucks v Ottawa Senators

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The Ottawa Senators and Carolina Hurricanes square off in Game 3 of the NHL Playoffs First Round on Thursday, April 23, beginning at 7:30 p.m. ET on TBS. The Hurricanes hold a 2-0 lead in the series. The Hurricanes are underdogs (+103) against the Senators (-123).

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Before watching this matchup, here's a glimpse at which club we pick to emerge with the victory in Thursday's NHL Playoffs First Round action.

Hurricanes vs. Senators Predictions for Thursday

Our computer projection model for this contest expects a final score of Senators 4, Hurricanes 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Senators (-123)
  • Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 6.4 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Hurricanes (+1.5)

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Senators Splits and Trends

  • The Senators have gone 6-12-18 in overtime matchups to contribute to an overall record of 44-27-11.
  • Ottawa has 37 points (13-10-11) in the 34 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
  • In the 10 games this season the Senators recorded only one goal, they finished 0-9-1.
  • Ottawa has taken 17 points from the 18 games this season when it scored two goals (6-7-5 record).
  • The Senators have scored at least three goals 54 times, and are 38-10-6 in those games (to register 82 points).
  • In the 29 games when Ottawa has capitalized on a single power-play goal, it registered 40 points after finishing 17-6-6.
  • In the 55 games when it outshot its opponent, Ottawa is 35-17-3 (73 points).
  • The Senators' opponents have had more shots in 25 games. The Senators went 8-9-8 in those contests (24 points).

Hurricanes Splits and Trends

  • The Hurricanes have a record of 53-22-7 this season and are 15-7-22 in overtime matchups.
  • Carolina has earned 43 points (20-4-3) in its 27 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
  • This season the Hurricanes registered only one goal in 12 games and they've earned two points (1-11-0) in those contests.
  • Carolina has earned 13 points (6-4-1 record) this season when scoring exactly two goals .
  • The Hurricanes have earned 102 points in their 60 games with three or more goals scored.
  • This season, Carolina has capitalized on a lone power-play goal in 35 games has a record of 24-9-2 in those matchups.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Carolina is 49-14-5 (103 points).
  • The Hurricanes' opponents have had more shots in 14 games. The Hurricanes went 5-7-2 in those matchups (12 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Senators Rank Senators AVG Hurricanes AVG Hurricanes Rank
8th 3.35 Goals Scored 3.55 2nd
13th 2.99 Goals Allowed 2.88 5th
8th 28.9 Shots 32 2nd
2nd 24.3 Shots Allowed 23.8 1st
8th 24.05% Power Play % 24.9% 4th
29th 75.85% Penalty Kill % 80.6% 11th

Hurricanes vs. Senators Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Thursday, April 23, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: TBS
  • Live Stream: Watch this match on HBO Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, Ontario

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