Hurricanes vs. Senators Prediction & Picks - NHL Playoffs First Round Game

The Ottawa Senators take their home ice at Canadian Tire Centre to square off against the Carolina Hurricanes in Game 4 of the NHL Playoffs First Round on Saturday, April 25, beginning at 3 p.m. ET on TBS. The Hurricanes have a 3-0 lead in the series. The Senators have +109 moneyline odds against the favored Hurricanes (-130).

Watch the NHL, other live sports and more on HBO Max. Use our link to sign up today.

Here is our prediction for who will secure the victory in this NHL Playoffs First Round contest.

Hurricanes vs. Senators Predictions for Saturday

Our computer model for this matchup predicts a final result of Senators 4, Hurricanes 3.

• Moneyline Pick: Senators (+109)
• Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 6.4 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Senators (+1.5)

Catch NHL action all season long on HBO Max.

Hurricanes Splits and Trends

• The Hurricanes are 15-7-22 in overtime games as part of a 53-22-7 overall record.
• In the 28 games Carolina has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 21-4-3 record (good for 45 points).
• In the 12 games this season the Hurricanes scored only one goal, they've finished 1-11-0 (two points).
• Carolina has taken 15 points from the 12 games this season when it scored a pair of goals (7-4-1 record).
• The Hurricanes are 48-6-6 in the 60 games when they have scored at least three goals (to register 102 points).
• In the 35 games when Carolina has scored a single power-play goal, it has a 24-9-2 record (50 points).
• In games when it has outshot opponents, Carolina is 50-14-5 (105 points).
• The Hurricanes' opponents have had more shots in 14 games. The Hurricanes went 5-7-2 in those matchups (12 points).

Senators Splits and Trends

• The Senators (44-27-11 overall) have posted a record of 6-12-18 in matchups that have required OT this season.
• In the 35 games Ottawa has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 37 points.
• This season the Senators recorded only one goal in 11 games and they finished 0-10-1 in those matchups.
• Ottawa has earned 17 points (6-7-5 record) this season when scoring exactly two goals .
• The Senators have earned 82 points in their 54 games with three or more goals scored.
• This season, Ottawa has scored a single power-play goal in 29 games has a record of 17-6-6 in those matchups.
• When outshooting its opponent this season, Ottawa is 35-17-3 (73 points).
• The Senators have been outshot by opponents in 26 games, going 8-10-8 to record 24 points.

Looking for NHL tickets? Head to StubHub today and see your team live.

Team Stats Comparison

Hurricanes vs. Senators Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Saturday, April 25, 2026 at 3 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: TBS
• Live Stream: Watch this match on HBO Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, Ontario

Sign up for HBO Max to watch the Hurricanes take on Senators.