Canadiens vs. Hurricanes Prediction & Picks - Stanley Cup Semifinals Game 5

The Carolina Hurricanes host the Montreal Canadiens Friday in Game 5 of the Stanley Cup Semifinals, starting at 8 p.m. ET on TNT. The Hurricanes have a 3-1 advantage in the series. The Hurricanes are favored, with -252 moneyline odds, in this matchup against the Canadiens, who have +204 moneyline odds.

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Ahead of watching this matchup, here is our prediction for which squad will secure the win in Friday's Stanley Cup Semifinals action.

Canadiens vs. Hurricanes Predictions for Friday

Our computer projection model for this contest expects a final score of Hurricanes 4, Canadiens 3.

• Moneyline Pick: Hurricanes (-252)
• Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 6.4 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Canadiens (+1.5)

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Hurricanes Splits and Trends

• The Hurricanes (53-22-7 overall) have a 19-7-26 record in matchups that have needed overtime.
• Carolina has 53 points (25-4-3) in the 32 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
• In the 12 games this season the Hurricanes registered just one goal, they've finished 1-11-0 (two points).
• Carolina has finished 7-5-1 in the 13 games this season when it scored exactly two goals (registering 15 points).
• The Hurricanes have scored three or more goals 68 times, and are 56-6-6 in those games (to register 118 points).
• In the 38 games when Carolina has capitalized on a lone power-play goal, it registered 56 points after finishing 27-9-2.
• When it has outshot its opponent, Carolina is 58-15-5 (121 points).
• The Hurricanes' opponents have had more shots in 14 games. The Hurricanes went 5-7-2 in those matchups (12 points).

Canadiens Splits and Trends

• The Canadiens have a record of 48-24-10 this season and are 17-14-31 in overtime contests.
• In the 41 games Montreal has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 57 points.
• This season the Canadiens registered just one goal in five games and they've earned two points (1-4-0) in those contests.
• Montreal has 14 points (5-11-4) when scoring two goals this season.
• The Canadiens have earned 111 points in their 69 games with at least three goals scored.
• Montreal has scored a single power-play goal in 34 games this season and has recorded 45 points from those matchups.
• When outshooting its opponent this season, Montreal is 19-17-2 (40 points).
• The Canadiens' opponents have had more shots in 58 games. The Canadiens finished 35-11-12 in those contests (82 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Canadiens vs. Hurricanes Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Friday, May 29, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: TNT
• Live Stream: Watch this match on HBO Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Lenovo Center in Raleigh, North Carolina

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